Kean University Survey of 1000 Likely Voters Conducted October 28, 2013

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

33% Strongly approve
23% Somewhat approve
7% Somewhat disapprove
35% Strongly disapprove
1% Not sure

How would you rate the job Chris Christie has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

30% Strongly approve
35% Somewhat approve
18% Somewhat disapprove
15% Strongly disapprove
2% Not sure

If the election for governor of New Jersey were held today, would you vote for Republican Chris Christie or Democrat Barbara Buono?

54% Chris Christie
36% Barbara Buono
3% Some other candidate
7% Not sure

I’m now going to read you a short list of people in the news, for each please tell me how familiar you are with that person – very familiar, somewhat familiar, net very familiar, or not at all familiar. First one, Chris Christie

84% You are very familiar with Chris Christie
14% Somewhat familiar
2% Not very familiar
1% Not at all familiar
0% Not sure

Next, Barbara Buono

37% You are very familiar with Barbara Buono
36% Somewhat familiar
20% Not very familiar
7% Not at all familiar
0% Not sure

If Governor Christie is re-elected and then decides to run for president, should he resign his office or continue to govern New Jersey while campaigning?

46% He should resign
43% He should continue as governor while campaigning
10% Not sure

Chris Christie and Cory Booker have established a national presence in politics and the media. Does their national presence help New Jersey, hurt New Jersey, or does it not matter?

45% It helps New Jersey
10% It hurts New Jersey
38% It doesn’t matter
7% Not sure

Governor Christie recently decided not to challenge a court ruling that made same-sex marriage legal in New Jersey. Do you approve or disapprove of this action?

62% Approve
29% Disapprove
9% Not sure

Whom do you blame for the recent federal government shutdown – Republicans in Congress, the Democrats in Congress, the White House, or both Congress and the White House?

48% Republicans in Congress
8% Democrats in Congress
13% The White House
29% Both Congress and the White House
2% Not sure

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the Tea Party caucus in Congress?

22% Favorable
61% Unfavorable
17% Not sure

Which party better represents your views at a national level?

46% Democrats
34% Republicans
17% Neither
3% Not sure

Turning to matters closer to home, how likely are you to consider moving from New Jersey over the next five years?

19% Very likely
20% Somewhat likely

What is the most-important factor that may lead you to leave the state -- Quality of life, taxes, financial condition of the state, weather, cost of living, or family?

14% Quality of life
46% Taxes
5% Financial condition of the state
3% Weather
24% Cost of living
5% Family
4% Some other reason
1% Not sure

How confident are you that Atlantic City can rebound from recent declines in gambling revenue?

8% Very confident
32% Somewhat confident
35% Not very confident
12% Not at all confident
13% Not sure

If New York voters approve a measure to create more casinos in the state, would you be more or less inclined to visit Atlantic City?

10% More inclined
18% Less inclined
69% It won’t matter
3% Not sure


Governor Christie enjoys a lead of nearly 20 points, according to a new NJ Speaks / Kean University poll, with 54 percent of respondents saying they would vote for him. Senator Buono garnered 36 percent of respondents. A previous Kean poll, released in late September, had the Governor with a lead of 52 percent to 34 percent over his challenger.

The Governor’s popularity is solidly bi-partisan. Fifty-two percent of self-identified Democrats approve of the job he is doing, although fewer Democrats – about 35 percent – said they would vote for him. Christie’s bi-partisan appeal contrasts with President Obama’s approval ratings, according to the Kean poll. The survey found that only 16 percent of self-identified Republicans have a favorable view of the Democratic president.

The Governor also is popular with independent voters. Fifty-two percent of those who are aligned with neither party said they would vote for Christie. “The independent voters see Christie as somebody who can work both sides of the aisle, and that’s an important issue in an era of seemingly endless partisan bickering and dysfunction,” said Dr. Terry Golway, director of the Kean University Center for History, Politics, and Policy.

The survey shows that Senator Buono has had a difficult time rallying her fellow Democrats. Only 54 percent of self-identified Democrats said they would vote for her.
The Kean poll also asked respondents several non-election questions relating to national and state issues. The survey found that:

• 65 percent of respondents approve of the job Christie has been doing as Governor.
• 46 percent of respondents said that if Christie wins re-election and decides to run for president, he should resign in order to campaign fulltime. Forty-three percent said he should continue as Governor while he campaigns.
• 62 percent approved of Christie’s decision to not challenge a court ruling that allowed same-sex marriage in New Jersey. Forty-seven percent of Republicans supported the Governor’s decision.
• Nearly half – 48 percent – blamed Republicans in Congress for the recent federal government shutdown. Only 13 percent blamed the White House.
• 39 percent of respondents – a plurality – said they were likely to move from New Jersey in the next five years. Of those, 46 percent cited high taxes as the reason they would move.
• 40 percent said they were confident that Atlantic City would be able to reverse recent declines in gambling revenue resulting from increased competition and a sluggish economy.

The Kean University poll was conducted on Oct. 28, and has a margin of sampling error of +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.